Abstract

The film industry operates under conditions of great uncertainty, which makes it very important for producers and production companies to understand which factors affect profitability. While previous research has explored the effect the total budget has on financial performance, very few have looked into the effect of the budget's allocation. This study aims to explore how increased budget allocation towards below-the-line costs affects return on investment. This study employs OLS, Lasso Regression, and Random Forest modeling to explore the relationship between below-the-line costs measured (using award nominations as a proxy) and return on investment for the film. The findings suggest that indicators/signals of technical quality, typically associated with higher below-the-line spending, are associated with higher return on investment, whereas higher budgets are associated with lower ROI

Advisor

Huiting, Tian

Second Advisor

Drew, Pasteur

Department

Business Economics; Statistical and Data Sciences

Keywords

Film, Movie, ROI

Publication Date

2026

Degree Granted

Bachelor of Arts

Document Type

Senior Independent Study Thesis

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