Abstract

Why do authoritarian states under economic sanction prioritize funding repression and military pursuits over social and economic initiatives? I suggest that authoritarian leaders choose this course of action because their primary source of power rests in the hands of their country's military and elites rather than its population. As such, authoritarian leaders repress their populations to quell dissent because they can not cut funding from the military or elites and expect to remain in office. I hypothesize that authoritarian leaders who increase or maintain repression in response to economic sanctions will see an increased likelihood of remaining in power five years after any given date during which sanctions were present. To test the validity of this hypothesis, I compiled data from the Threat and Imposition of Economic Sanctions, Polity5, Archigos, and Political Terror Scale datasets and ran a series of chi-square tests examining the relationship between sanctions, repression, and leader survival in autocracies, democracies, and anocracies. My results suggest that authoritarian leaders who repress their populations are more likely to remain in power within a five-year period than those who do not.

Advisor

Krain, Matthew

Department

Political Science

Keywords

Sanctions, Repression, Authoritarian

Publication Date

2025

Degree Granted

Bachelor of Arts

Document Type

Senior Independent Study Thesis

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© Copyright 2025 Samuel J. Peppers