External state intervention is a complex phenomenon which crosses the disciplinary line between economics and political science. When modeling the decision to intervene, many investigations fail to consider the role of economic interests. We hypothesize that economic interests play a role in the decision to intervene. Our paper applies realist and liberal international relations theories to a rational choice framework. From these theories, we gather that security, economic, and political interest matter in the decision making process. We use a logit model to empirically test our theoretical model and fail to find significant evidence to support our hypothesis. However, we provide evidence that using all states other than the conflict state as potential interveners, ex-ante intervention, as the unit of analysis allows for a more accurate model of the decision making process


Moledina, Amyaz


International Relations


International Relations


civil war, intervention

Publication Date


Degree Granted

Bachelor of Arts

Document Type

Senior Independent Study Thesis



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