The purpose of this undergraduate thesis in the fields of Russian Studies and Mathematics at the College of Wooster is to construct a combat model in order to analyze a mock-combat scenario between Soviet Spetsnaz and Afghan Mujahideen with the addition of United States Special Forces. Following a thorough background exploration of both Soviet and U.S. special operation forces, and subsequently an analysis of Soviet-Afghan relations, a fictional, yet based on an actual account, raid of an Afghan government post sets the stage for the model. After using Lanchester’s Square Law to create both a deterministic and stochastic model of combat, the program constructed provides results for the combat scenario based on the parameters provided for force size, fighting effectiveness, intelligence, and local population.


Moynihan, Matthew

Second Advisor

Lyles, John


Mathematics; Russian Studies


Numerical Analysis and Computation | Ordinary Differential Equations and Applied Dynamics | Slavic Languages and Societies | Statistical Models


Russian, mathematics, combat analysis, stochastic, deterministic, Afghanistan, Russia, special operations, spetsnaz, Mujahideen, differential equations, modeling

Publication Date


Degree Granted

Bachelor of Arts

Document Type

Senior Independent Study Thesis



© Copyright 2014 Zachary M. Sessa