Analysis of Factors that Influence the Probability of a Goal in the National Hockey League

Authors

Josephine Rey, The College of WoosterFollow

Abstract

Compared to other sports, hockey is a relatively low scoring sport. Hockey players also make substitutions more often than basketball, baseball, or football. In hockey, teams fluidly change skating lines about every 30 to 45 seconds. The combination of ’low score’ and ’quick change over of players’ on the ice, causes diculty in the analysis of hockey scoring. This research, analyzes which factors influence a shot becoming a goal in the National Hockey League (NHL). Utilizing two mathematical modeling processes, logistic regression and artificial neural networks, the analysis of 30 unique factors aecting a shot is undertaken.

Advisor

Pasteur, Drew

Department

Mathematics

Recommended Citation

Rey, Josephine, "Analysis of Factors that Influence the Probability of a Goal in the National Hockey League" (2014). Senior Independent Study Theses. Paper 5970.
https://openworks.wooster.edu/independentstudy/5970

Keywords

NHL, hockey, math modeling

Publication Date

2014

Degree Granted

Bachelor of Arts

Document Type

Senior Independent Study Thesis